Sunday, May 27, 2012

Reliance Industries: A Report to Read for a Year




I accept openly that I have lost money in Reliance Industries. I have not made money on this counter. Both the brothers do not suit my style of gaming in stock market.
However, there is 870 factor for one year. I hope to use this opportunity. The given report HERE has very nicely discussed all the factors. The report is written in such a manner that anyone can understand it. That is other thing, it is suggesting against my enthusiasm. Well, my only argument is that if the right kind of business is done, the things then come out, would be different. If Reliance allocates money to buy back shares, and this is not liked by some management experts, it is right. But somewhere, you are asking for miracle from Mukesh and business is not done like that. Somewhere you have to wait for some opportunities and in the meantime, you have to put money to some use. At least for me, it makes sense to put money in your own stock as that gives me a message that there are some iron in the fire.

Portfolio Making Expertise



You can not overlook the activities of LIC of India in share market. No doubt, there are people who raise finger at the actual financial structure of the corporation as it is accepted among the experts that no one really knows the actual size of LIC of India. Well this is a general corridor talk which do not carry much weight.
The important issue is the recent structuring of LIC in its portfolio which had been studied by another private bank researcher and report in Economic Times HERE.
It is my observation over a period of time, then when market falls, the FIIs sell and move out. It is the DIIs which then come in and buy and keep the market floating at a particular rate. When Fiis offload, then it is only Diis who have that kind of money to make the purchases. Otherwise, the market would bust. When the fiis reenter, it is diis which sells and fiis buy and then the market runs. This is how the merchants in share market had been working as per my observation.
However, this report attracted my attention because, it is showing some different pattern in case of LIC. It is buying public sector banks and selling such shares which if accumulated by an individual over a period of time, that they can easily take care of his old age.
Just read the list of shares which it has sold. One does not need a certification from an expert to pick them in ones portfolio.


Saturday, May 5, 2012

GAAR ki VAAT: Really


Hai, Market has fallen. It will go down further. Too bad. In my last post, I pointed out to the reports of the impact of GAAR. I underplayed it. Now market has fallen. Every report is making GAAR a culprit. However, I will like to read the view of Nicholas de Boursac on Economic Times again and again. I am more interested in the comment of Ravi, which happens to be the first comment in this section. I am keeping it for record because, the view incorporates some figures in it which I believe, if they are true, very vital to remember. As for me, I am sure a deal will be struck. Chandarkant Sampant had last year warned government about the current account deficit. The danger is there. But, if the Indian economy is strong, if the right quantity of business is done, these finance management issues will turn out to be boggy. I may sound novice, but I am Bullish. Yes, I accept that the market will go down. There are dangers. India will suffer if it will not take right steps to curtail current account deficit. But still, I am bullish and believe that FIIs are here to stay. If they stay, then it is upside and more money would come in. Indian need their money and they see an opportunity to make. There is possibility of Business. You got it.

Sunday, April 29, 2012

A Bad News of 2012




Read the NEWS HERE on FII. I do not like this news. The Indian operators are nasty. It is only when FIIs are here, that they remain at the fence. FII means upside. But Indian operators manipulates. Should I sell more of my holdings? However, there is a need to read this news discreetly. It is the GAAR factor which may have spoiled the party. I am of the belief that FIIs do not return soon. They had invested in the beginning of the year. It is the street smart investors who have restructured their game plan after coming of GAAR. I may be wrong.

Friday, February 17, 2012

Coal and Power Companies



The report Here is a good article for understanding the factors of Coal India and Power Companies associated with Coal India.

The interested investors may have seen the sudden activity in Power Shares. The story is becoming clear. However, there are some more news report referring to the views of the experts. They are showing caution.

I believe, what may come, Power is an essential factor in the economic growth of India. At least I am interested in every power company. These companies mentioned in the report are coal based power producer. I am also interested in un-conventional methods of power producing companies or the green companies. However, they are not showing results like the coal based companies.



Wednesday, February 15, 2012

FII Factors



It was in the first week of February 2012, it was reported through the sources of NSE that FII has brought 15000 plus money. Now, there is a spurt in the sensex. It is mixed with other positive factors emanating from within India.

However, question arises, that what will be the scenario in March 2012. But when FII are there, they may have good risk appetite but they come for a longer time.

Check the report here in may be substantiated with report mentioned above.



Lanco Infratech Q3 2011




Lanco Infratech Q3 2011 reports Check Here.

The headlines scream that there is 63% fall. However, there is need to study the Hindu report more discretely.

For me, I compare the working of Reliance Power, Reliance infra and Lanco Infra. I club them together for future watch.



Tuesday, February 7, 2012

M&M Q3 2011



M&M is a permanent part of my portfolio.

However, third quarterly result was down and the share price did not remain above 700 which was desired. I believe that is the expectation of the rest of the investors like me.

Check the Report of the Hindu.

I have picked this report of the succinct report.



Monday, January 9, 2012

2012 India Bullish by 2021



The Report here may be very soothing for those who have seen the book loss on their portfolio.

It is merely for record. No comments as such on this report.


Thursday, December 8, 2011

Coal India Projections



Indiainfoline has given a brief detail of Coal India in reference to it recent decisions. While discussing the 12 Five year Plan target, I am not clear about the contents. However, rest of the figures are worth watching on day to day basis.

It is a share, which should have crossed 400 now. But the production related issues and the present market trends have brought it down to 300. This was the price when many expert had started recommending this share. It was issued for 240 more than 12 months back. With its present pulls of strikes, employees issues and Environment Ministry pulls, there is a need to revise the idea of keeping more money in this counter.


Monday, November 28, 2011

History Lesson on Tatas



On the eve of passing over the baton to the next in the generation in Tata Sons, The Hindu has given a fine history lesson on the Tata Sons.

Check the Report HERE



Sunday, November 20, 2011

Technalist (Chartists) View November 2011



Check the Business Line Chartists Version of present trend of the Indian Market.

I learned to make sense of Technical commentary after great efforts. I have found that their judgement is more helpful then to get the tips. A similar review is presently given on Economic times. The figures are useful. But I have decided to keep this article in this dump.

Just a view. I have found that when the Chartists give sign in one direction, the market behaves in opposite direction for a week as if it wants to show the Chartists wrong. But over two to three weeks, their views are vindicated. It is other thing, for a novice, they do not make sense. They tell that what their charts are telling and then tell that how far it will fall further. But they will end their analysis with the factor 'if' and tell that if it turns around then it will reach that high. One is perplexed to understand that what actually they are telling. However, if one understands the market, then, they are always telling the matter of fact things. They are not dictating or prophecies. They give the pattern and you have to learn to feel the pattern instead of understanding them.


Friday, November 18, 2011

Negative News on Suzlon



Suzlon,a highly traded share, is checking lower side.

Check the Report HERE.

There are contradictory recommendations. If one expert says "SELL" then other says "BUY".

What has happened to Indowind.

I am having this script in which I have booked partial losses. However, the quantity of losses is such that I do not see to recover my principal amount.



Tuesday, November 15, 2011

M&M Q2, 2011



Same story. Increase in cost and fall in profit but there is profit. This is the story of Mahindra and Mahindra.

Check Here



TATA Power Q2 2011




Tata Power is one of my portfolio share. It is available in range of Rs. 100 after split.

It has reported loss for this quarterly due to increase in costs.

I will buy more.

Check HERE